Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Roma | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.45 | 1.05 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.81 | 1.34 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.1 | 13.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 4 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 396 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Roma
- injured Bryan Cristante return: Late October 2026
- injured Manu Koné return: Mid November 2026
- injured Mile Svilar return: Early November 2026
- injured Paulo Dybala return: doubtful
- suspended Donyell Malen return: Mid October 2026
Genoa
- injured Djibril Sow return: Late October 2026
- injured Elias Havel return: Late October 2026
- injured Franz-Ethan Meichtry return: Late October 2026
- injured Lorenzo Colombo return: Early November 2026
- injured Lorenzo Venturino return: Back in training
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Roma 21 · 5 5 draws · 5 Genoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Genoa | 2 - 1 | Roma |
| 2025-12-29 | Roma | 3 - 1 | Genoa |
| 2025-01-17 | Roma | 3 - 1 | Genoa |
| 2024-09-15 | Genoa | 1 - 1 | Roma |
| 2024-05-19 | Roma | 1 - 0 | Genoa |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage