UEFA Champions League Round 3 2026-10-20 · 19:00 UTC finished
Prediction
73% Roma (home) Model favorite
15% Draw
12% Slovan Bratislava (away)
Expected goals 2.48 — 1.1 Over 2.5 goals: 69% Both teams to score: 61%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Roma Slovan Bratislava
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.11—
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 0.84—
Sample size (matches with xG data) 50
Rest days since last match 36
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 9.1 —
Matches in the last 7 days 31
Matches in the next 7 days 30
Travel to this match (km) 0—

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Roma

  • injured Manu Koné return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Mile Svilar return: Early November 2026
  • injured Paulo Dybala return: About 1-2 weeks

Slovan Bratislava

  • injured Andraž Šporar return: Early November 2026
  • injured Roman Čerepkai return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Roma 0 · 1 1 draws · 1 Slovan Bratislava

DateHome ScoreAway
2011-08-25Roma 1 - 1Slovan Bratislava
2011-08-18Slovan Bratislava 1 - 0Roma
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available