Belgian Pro League Round 10 2026-10-31 · 19:45 UTC scheduled
Prediction
13% SK Beveren (home)
18% Draw
69% Union St.Gilloise (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 0.91 — 2.3 Over 2.5 goals: 62% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric SK Beveren Union St.Gilloise
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.082.34
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.410.91
Sample size (matches with xG data) 12
Rest days since last match 76
Matches in the last 7 days 12
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 5044

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 65.0% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

SK Beveren

  • injured Kurt Abrahams return: Day to day
  • injured Léandre Kuavita return: Day to day

Union St.Gilloise

  • injured Ilan Hurtevent return: Early November 2026
  • injured Kevin Mac Allister return: Early June 2027
  • injured Mateo Biondic return: Late November 2026
  • injured Ondřej Kričfaluši return: A few days
  • injured Rob Schoofs return: A few days

Head to head

All-time (per our source): SK Beveren 2 · 0 0 draws · 3 Union St.Gilloise

DateHome ScoreAway
2023-12-07SK Beveren 0 - 2Union St.Gilloise
2019-04-27SK Beveren 3 - 2Union St.Gilloise
2019-04-06Union St.Gilloise 5 - 1SK Beveren
2017-05-19Union St.Gilloise 1 - 3SK Beveren
2017-04-08SK Beveren 1 - 4Union St.Gilloise
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available