UEFA Champions League Round 4 2026-11-04 · 20:00 UTC scheduled
Prediction
12% Slavia Prague (home)
12% Draw
75% Arsenal (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 0.88 — 2.65 Over 2.5 goals: 68% Both teams to score: 54%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Slavia Prague Arsenal
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.481.8
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.071.28
Sample size (matches with xG data) 15
Rest days since last match 153
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) — 9.7
Matches in the last 7 days 02
Matches in the next 7 days 01

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Slavia Prague

No reported absentees.

Arsenal

  • injured Bukayo Saka return: Early December 2026
  • injured Christos Tzolis return: Early November 2026
  • injured Piero Hincapié return: doubtful
  • injured William Saliba return: Late November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Slavia Prague 0 · 1 1 draws · 2 Arsenal

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-11-04Slavia Prague 0:3Arsenal
2021-04-15Slavia Prague 0:4Arsenal
2021-04-08Arsenal 1:1Slavia Prague
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available