UEFA Champions League Round 3 2026-10-21 · 19:00 UTC finished
Sporting CP (home)
VS Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
LASK (away)
Prediction
74% Sporting CP (home) Model favorite
13% Draw
13% LASK (away)
Expected goals 3.05 — 1.06 Over 2.5 goals: 78% Both teams to score: 62%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Sporting CP LASK
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 87
Matches in the last 7 days 21
Matches in the next 7 days 31
Travel to this match (km) 1603—

What could go against this prediction

no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Sporting CP

  • injured Nuno Santos return: Day to day
  • injured Rodrigo Zalazar return: Early November 2026
  • injured Zeno Debast return: Early November 2026

LASK

  • injured George Bello return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Ramiz Harakaté return: Mid October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Sporting CP 1 · 0 0 draws · 2 LASK

DateHome ScoreAway
2020-10-01Sporting CP 1 - 4LASK
2019-12-12LASK 3 - 0Sporting CP
2019-10-03Sporting CP 2 - 1LASK
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available