Belgian Pro League Round 10 2026-11-01 · 15:00 UTC scheduled
St.Truiden (home)
VS Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, Sint-Truiden (St.-Trond)
OH Leuven (away)
Prediction
59% St.Truiden (home) Model favorite
26% Draw
16% OH Leuven (away)
Expected goals 1.87 — 0.94 Over 2.5 goals: 53% Both teams to score: 51%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric St.Truiden OH Leuven
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.813.43
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.670.97
Sample size (matches with xG data) 11
Rest days since last match 78
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 14534

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

St.Truiden

No reported absentees.

OH Leuven

  • injured Manuel Osifo return: Day to day
  • injured Thibaud Verlinden return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): St.Truiden 12 · 6 6 draws · 7 OH Leuven

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-01-18St.Truiden 1 - 0OH Leuven
2025-11-23OH Leuven 1 - 2St.Truiden
2025-03-16OH Leuven 3 - 2St.Truiden
2024-09-15St.Truiden 2 - 1OH Leuven
2024-05-17St.Truiden 1 - 1OH Leuven
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available