Belgian Pro League Round 10 2026-10-31 · 17:15 UTC scheduled
Standard Liège (home)
VS Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liège (Luik)
Kortrijk (away)
Prediction
64% Standard Liège (home) Model favorite
23% Draw
14% Kortrijk (away)
Expected goals 1.89 — 0.88 Over 2.5 goals: 52% Both teams to score: 50%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Standard Liège Kortrijk
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.48—
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 3.32—
Sample size (matches with xG data) 10
Rest days since last match 621
Matches in the last 7 days 10
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 4444

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 65.0% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Standard Liège

  • injured Josué Homawoo return: Early January 2027
  • injured Mohamed El Hankouri return: Day to day

Kortrijk

  • injured Basile Vroninks return: A few days
  • injured Jamie Roche return: A few days
  • injured Marko Ilić return: A few days
  • injured Matthew Anderson return: Day to day
  • injured Nayel Mehssatou return: Day to day
  • injured Rok Štorman return: A few days

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Standard Liège 18 · 7 7 draws · 14 Kortrijk

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-01-10Standard Liège 1 - 0Kortrijk
2024-08-18Kortrijk 1 - 0Standard Liège
2024-01-20Standard Liège 0 - 1Kortrijk
2023-08-26Kortrijk 1 - 1Standard Liège
2023-02-12Standard Liège 0 - 2Kortrijk
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available