Serie A Round 9 2026-10-27 · 19:45 UTC scheduled
Torino (home)
VS Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Como (away)
Prediction
15% Torino (home)
22% Draw
63% Como (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 1.0 — 1.77 Over 2.5 goals: 52% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Torino Como
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.291.83
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.241.35
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 43
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 15.9 10.1
Matches in the last 7 days 24
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 0140

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Torino vs Como: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.26 xG for, 1.30 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 2.41 / 1.73.

TorinoComo
9.2 Shots per match 22.2
6.0 Shots on target per match 13.8
1.26 xG per match 2.41

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 65.0% of the time.

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Torino

  • injured Emirhan Ilkhan return: doubtful
  • injured Niccolò Fortini return: Early November 2026
  • injured Ricardo Rodríguez return: Early November 2026

Como

  • injured Assane Diao return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Jesús Rodríguez return: Early November 2026
  • injured Mattia Liberali return: doubtful
  • injured Moise Kean return: Early November 2026
  • injured Trevoh Chalobah return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Torino 1 · 0 0 draws · 3 Como

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-01-24Como 6 - 0Torino
2025-11-24Torino 1 - 5Como
2025-04-13Como 1 - 0Torino
2024-10-25Torino 1 - 0Como
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available