Serie A Round 6 2026-10-12 · 18:45 UTC finished
Torino (home)
VS Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Udinese (away)
Prediction
37% Torino (home)
31% Draw
32% Udinese (away)
Expected goals 1.34 — 1.24 Over 2.5 goals: 48% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Torino Udinese
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.01.22
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.882.02
Sample size (matches with xG data) 44
Rest days since last match 2323
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 15.9 17.6
Matches in the last 7 days 00
Matches in the next 7 days 22
Travel to this match (km) 295447

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Torino

  • injured Niccolò Fortini return: Late October 2026

Udinese

  • injured Idrissa Gueye return: Late December 2026
  • injured Jakub Piotrowski return: doubtful
  • injured Nicolò Zaniolo return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Torino 14 · 6 6 draws · 8 Udinese

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-05-02Udinese 2 - 0Torino
2026-01-07Torino 1 - 2Udinese
2025-04-23Torino 2 - 0Udinese
2024-12-29Udinese 2 - 2Torino
2024-03-16Udinese 0 - 2Torino
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available