Serie A Round 10 2026-10-31 · 17:00 UTC scheduled
Udinese (home)
VS Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Roma (away)
Prediction
11% Udinese (home)
16% Draw
73% Roma (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 0.94 — 1.94 Over 2.5 goals: 55% Both teams to score: 52%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Udinese Roma
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.691.87
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.781.03
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 34
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 17.6 9.1
Matches in the last 7 days 34
Matches in the next 7 days 12
Travel to this match (km) 265465

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Udinese vs Roma: what the data says

Home last five: 0.00 points, 1.02 xG for, 2.61 against per game. Away: 2.20 / 2.15 / 1.29.

UdineseRoma
0.00 Points per game 2.20
2.60 Goals conceded per match 0.60
5.5 Big chances faced per match 2.0

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Udinese

  • injured David Alaba return: Early November 2026
  • injured Idrissa Gueye return: Late December 2026
  • injured Oumar Solet return: Early November 2026
  • injured Vakoun Issouf Bayo return: Early November 2026

Roma

  • injured Lorenzo Pellegrini return: Late November 2026
  • injured Manu Koné return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Mile Svilar return: Early November 2026
  • injured Paulo Dybala return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Udinese 6 · 2 2 draws · 24 Roma

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-02Udinese 1 - 0Roma
2025-11-09Roma 2 - 0Udinese
2025-01-26Udinese 1 - 2Roma
2024-09-22Roma 3 - 0Udinese
2024-04-25Udinese 1 - 2Roma
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available