No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Union Berlin | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.1 | 2.04 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.78 | 2.2 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 13 | 14 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 16.9 | 14.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 640 | 149 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Union Berlin
- injured Andrej Ilić return: Late October 2026
- injured Andrik Markgraf return: Early March 2027
- injured Josip Juranović return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Marvin Friedrich return: Late October 2026
- injured Stanley N'Soki return: Late October 2026
RB Leipzig
- injured Assan Ouédraogo return: Late December 2026
- injured Christopher Nkunku return: doubtful
- injured Marc Guiu return: A few weeks
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Union Berlin 6 · 2 2 draws · 6 RB Leipzig
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | RB Leipzig | 3:1 | Union Berlin |
| 2025-12-12 | Union Berlin | 3:1 | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-02-01 | Union Berlin | 0:0 | RB Leipzig |
| 2024-09-14 | RB Leipzig | 0:0 | Union Berlin |
| 2024-02-04 | RB Leipzig | 2:0 | Union Berlin |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage