Belgian Pro League Round 9 2026-10-25 · 18:15 UTC finished
Union St.Gilloise (home)
VS Stade Joseph Mariën, Bruxelles (Brussels)
Cercle Brugge (away)
Prediction
80% Union St.Gilloise (home) Model favorite
14% Draw
6% Cercle Brugge (away)
Expected goals 2.47 — 0.8 Over 2.5 goals: 63% Both teams to score: 50%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Union St.Gilloise Cercle Brugge
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.66—
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 0.59—
Sample size (matches with xG data) 10
Rest days since last match 315
Matches in the last 7 days 20
Matches in the next 7 days 32
Travel to this match (km) 091

What could go against this prediction

no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Union St.Gilloise

  • injured Ilan Hurtevent return: Early November 2026
  • injured Kevin Mac Allister return: Early June 2027
  • injured Mateo Biondic return: Late November 2026
  • injured Ondřej Kričfaluši return: A few days
  • injured Rob Schoofs return: A few days

Cercle Brugge

  • injured Joel Ndala return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Union St.Gilloise 12 · 6 6 draws · 6 Cercle Brugge

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-12-26Cercle Brugge 1 - 1Union St.Gilloise
2025-11-22Union St.Gilloise 2 - 0Cercle Brugge
2024-12-08Cercle Brugge 0 - 0Union St.Gilloise
2024-10-27Union St.Gilloise 1 - 3Cercle Brugge
2024-05-19Cercle Brugge 1 - 2Union St.Gilloise
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available