No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Union St.Gilloise | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.34 | 3.32 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.91 | 1.48 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 1 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 1380 | 27 |
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Union St.Gilloise
- injured Ilan Hurtevent return: Early November 2026
- injured Kevin Mac Allister return: Early June 2027
- injured Mateo Biondic return: Late November 2026
- injured Ondřej Kričfaluši return: A few days
- injured Rob Schoofs return: A few days
Genk
- injured Adrián Palacios return: Day to day
- injured Christian Akpan return: Day to day
- injured Ken Nkuba return: Day to day
- injured Kenan Haroun return: Day to day
- injured Yaimar Medina return: Day to day
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Union St.Gilloise 9 · 1 1 draws · 4 Genk
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | St. Gilloise | 2:1 | Genk |
| 2025-09-21 | Genk | 1:2 | St. Gilloise |
| 2025-05-03 | St. Gilloise | 1:0 | Genk |
| 2025-04-20 | Genk | 1:2 | St. Gilloise |
| 2025-03-15 | Genk | 2:1 | St. Gilloise |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage