Serie A Round 9 2026-10-28 · 17:30 UTC scheduled
Venezia (home)
VS Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Inter (away)
Prediction
10% Venezia (home)
15% Draw
75% Inter (away) Model favorite
Expected goals 0.8 — 2.35 Over 2.5 goals: 61% Both teams to score: 50%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Venezia Inter
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.622.57
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.020.64
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 33
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 13.4 11.1
Matches in the last 7 days 23
Matches in the next 7 days 23
Travel to this match (km) 291252

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Venezia vs Inter: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.74 xG for, 2.43 against per game. Away: 2.60 / 3.31 / 1.62.

VeneziaInter
0.60 Points per game 2.60
1.20 Goals per match 3.20
15.5 Shots on target faced per match 6.8

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Venezia

  • injured Andrea Adorante return: doubtful
  • injured Bartol Franjić return: Early November 2026
  • injured Marin Šverko return: doubtful
  • injured Thierry Correia return: Early November 2026

Inter

  • injured Benjamin Pavard return: Early November 2026
  • injured Curtis Jones return: Early November 2026
  • injured John Stones return: Early November 2026
  • injured Lautaro Martínez return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Luis Henrique return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Venezia 0 · 0 0 draws · 5 Inter

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-12-03Inter 5 - 1Venezia
2025-01-12Venezia 0 - 1Inter
2024-11-03Inter 1 - 0Venezia
2022-01-22Inter 2 - 1Venezia
2021-11-27Venezia 0 - 2Inter
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available