No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Werder Bremen | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.68 | 1.75 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 2 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 18.5 | 11.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 334 | 258 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Werder Bremen
- injured Felix Agu return: Late October 2026
- injured Jens Stage return: Late October 2026
- injured Justin Njinmah return: Late October 2026
- injured Keke Topp return: Early January 2027
- injured Moussa N'Diaye return: Late October 2026
- injured Olivier Deman return: doubtful
- injured Salim Musah return: Early January 2027
- injured Skelly Alvero return: Late October 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
- injured Christian Kofane return: A few weeks
- injured Eliesse Ben Seghir return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Guéla Doué return: A few weeks
- injured Kennet Eichhorn return: Late October 2026
- injured Martin Terrier return: Early December 2026
- injured Montrell Culbreath return: Late October 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Werder Bremen 20 · 22 22 draws · 22 Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Leverkusen | 1:0 | Werder Bremen |
| 2025-08-30 | Werder Bremen | 3:3 | Leverkusen |
| 2025-03-08 | Leverkusen | 0:2 | Werder Bremen |
| 2024-10-26 | Werder Bremen | 2:2 | Leverkusen |
| 2024-04-14 | Leverkusen | 5:0 | Werder Bremen |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage