What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Fulham lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Fulham +0.31, Newcastle United -0.52.
- Points per game over the last five: Fulham 1.60, Newcastle United 1.20.
- Attack: Fulham xG per match 1.45, 13.0 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Newcastle United xG per match 1.32, 13.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created. Newcastle United have the better conversion (1.20 vs 0.80).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Fulham 1.14, Newcastle United 1.84; shots on target faced 8.0 vs 9.8, big chances faced 1.6 vs 2.5.
- Running: Fulham 118.4 km, Newcastle United 115.9 km; sprints 97 vs 128.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 2.00
· Edge 70.0%
xGA per match
1.14
vs 1.84
· Edge 38.0%
Big chances faced per match
1.6
vs 2.5
· Edge 36.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals per match
1.20
vs 0.80
· Edge 33.3%
Sprints per match
128
vs 97
· Edge 24.1%
Shots on target per match
8.5
vs 8.0
· Edge 5.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Fulham
|
Metric |
Newcastle United
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.60 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 0.80 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 0.60 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 1.57 | Expected points per game | 1.01 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.45 | xG per match | 1.32 |
| 13.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.2 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.5 |
| 2.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 55.6% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 53.5% |
| 8.8 | Deep completions per match | 6.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.14 | xGA per match | 1.84 |
| 14.6 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.8 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 9.8 |
| 1.6 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 5.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 118.4 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data | 115.9 km |
| 97 | Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 128 |
| 17.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Fulham 1
- Emile Smith Rowe Injury Doubtful
Newcastle United 4
- Ewen Jaouen Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Lewis Miley Injury Doubtful
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo Injury Doubtful
- Valentino Livramento Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.