What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Atalanta have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Monza have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Monza -0.47, Atalanta +0.22.
- Points per game over the last five: Monza 1.20, Atalanta 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Monza xG per match 1.66, 13.5 shots, 3.5 big chances created; Atalanta xG per match 2.23, 17.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created. Monza have the better conversion (2.20 vs 2.00).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Monza 2.12, Atalanta 2.01; shots on target faced 7.8 vs 10.4, big chances faced 3.5 vs 3.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.80
· Edge 33.3%
Shots on target faced per match
7.8
vs 10.4
· Edge 25.5%
Goals conceded per match
2.00
vs 2.40
· Edge 16.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xG per match
2.23
vs 1.66
· Edge 25.6%
Shots per match
17.8
vs 13.5
· Edge 24.2%
Big chances faced per match
3.0
vs 3.5
· Edge 14.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Monza
|
Metric |
Atalanta
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 2.20 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per match | 2.40 |
| 1.04 | Expected points per game | 1.40 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.66 | xG per match | 2.23 |
| 13.5 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 17.8 |
| 9.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 11.0 |
| 3.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 47.8% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 47.0% |
| 6.4 | Deep completions per match | 7.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.12 | xGA per match | 2.01 |
| 14.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 14.6 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.4 |
| 3.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 7.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 19.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Monza 3
- Jan Ziólkowski Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Matteo Pessina Injury Back in training
- Yvan Kouadio Maye Injury Back in training
Atalanta 8
- Franck Kessié Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Giacomo Raspadori Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Gianluca Scamacca Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Isak Hien Injury Back in training
- Odilon Kossounou Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Raoul Bellanova Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Sead Kolasinac Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Thomas Pompei Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.