Lecce vs Genoa: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-11-01 2026-11-01 ~ 2026-11-01

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Lecce have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Genoa have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lecce -0.09, Genoa -0.23.
  • Points per game over the last five: Lecce 1.20, Genoa 1.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Lecce xG per match 1.70, 13.0 shots, 2.6 big chances created; Genoa xG per match 1.06, 11.2 shots, 1.4 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lecce 1.79, Genoa 1.29; shots on target faced 7.4 vs 10.2, big chances faced 3.2 vs 1.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 2.6 vs 1.4 · Edge 46.2%
xG per match 1.70 vs 1.06 · Edge 37.4%
Goals per match 1.40 vs 1.00 · Edge 28.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 1.8 vs 3.2 · Edge 43.8%
Goals conceded per match 1.20 vs 1.80 · Edge 33.3%
xGA per match 1.29 vs 1.79 · Edge 27.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lecce Metric Genoa
Results
1.20 Points per game 1.40
1.40 Goals per match 1.00
1.80 Goals conceded per match 1.20
1.14 Expected points per game 1.18
Attack
1.70 xG per match 1.06
13.0 Shots per match 11.2
8.2 Shots on target per match 7.2
2.6 Big chances created per match 1.4
40.4% Possession 43.6%
4.8 Deep completions per match 2.4
Defence
1.79 xGA per match 1.29
12.2 Shots faced per match 15.6
7.4 Shots on target faced per match 10.2
3.2 Big chances faced per match 1.8
5.6 Deep completions allowed per match 8.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
28.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 24.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lecce 5

Snapshot · 2026-11-01

  • Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Medon Berisha Injury Doubtful
  • Santiago Pierotti Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Willem Geubbels Injury Doubtful

Genoa 2

Snapshot · 2026-11-01

  • Elias Havel Injury Doubtful
  • Lorenzo Venturino Injury Back in training

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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