Rennes vs Strasbourg: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Rennes lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Rennes -0.04, Strasbourg -0.41.
  • Points per game over the last five: Rennes 1.80, Strasbourg 0.80.
  • Attack: Rennes xG per match 2.17, 17.5 shots, 3.8 big chances created; Strasbourg xG per match 1.23, 15.2 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Rennes 2.21, Strasbourg 1.65; shots on target faced 11.2 vs 10.8, big chances faced 2.5 vs 3.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Points per game 1.80 vs 0.80 · Edge 55.6%
xG per match 2.17 vs 1.23 · Edge 43.1%
Big chances faced per match 2.5 vs 3.8 · Edge 33.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
xGA per match 1.65 vs 2.21 · Edge 25.5%
Shots on target faced per match 10.8 vs 11.2 · Edge 4.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Rennes Metric Strasbourg
Results
1.80 Points per game 0.80
2.00 Goals per match 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded per match 2.00
1.46 Expected points per game 0.98
Attack
2.17 xG per match 1.23
17.5 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 15.2
12.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 9.5
3.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.8
53.0% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 45.2%
9.0 Deep completions per match 7.4
Defence
2.21 xGA per match 1.65
16.0 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 17.2
11.2 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 10.8
2.5 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.8
9.4 Deep completions allowed per match 11.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
22.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 21.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Rennes 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Estéban Lepaul Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Strasbourg 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Fabio Baldé Injury Doubtful
  • Ismaël Doukouré Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Joaquín Panichelli Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Martial Godo Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Maxi Oyedele Injury Doubtful
  • Sebastian Nanasi Injury Expected back late October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.