What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Hoffenheim have the stronger underlying attack/defence.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Werder Bremen +0.35, Hoffenheim +0.85.
- Attack: Werder Bremen xG per match 1.99, 15.0 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Hoffenheim xG per match 2.19, 18.8 shots, 3.6 big chances created. Werder Bremen have the better conversion (2.20 vs 2.00).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Werder Bremen 1.64, Hoffenheim 1.34; shots on target faced 10.2 vs 7.4, big chances faced 3.0 vs 2.6.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.20
vs 2.00
· Edge 9.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots on target faced per match
7.4
vs 10.2
· Edge 27.8%
Shots faced per match
12.6
vs 16.2
· Edge 22.5%
Shots per match
18.8
vs 15.0
· Edge 20.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Werder Bremen
|
Metric |
Hoffenheim
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.80 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 2.20 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 1.62 | Expected points per game | 1.87 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.99 | xG per match | 2.19 |
| 15.0 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 18.8 |
| 10.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.6 |
| 47.0% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 53.4% |
| 10.0 | Deep completions per match | 13.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.64 | xGA per match | 1.34 |
| 16.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.6 |
| 10.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.4 |
| 3.0 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.6 |
| 10.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 14.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Werder Bremen 8
- Felix Agu Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Jens Stage Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Justin Njinmah Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Keke Topp Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Moussa N'Diaye Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Olivier Deman Injury Doubtful
- Salim Musah Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Skelly Alvero Injury Expected back late October 2026
Hoffenheim 4
- Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Tim Lemperle Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.