Player Watch

A scouting view of the gap between reference market value, underlying ability, role and risk across the big five leagues.
2026 season · at least 450 minutes Data window 2026-08-15 to 2026-10-26 Reference values covered: 524/718 Ages available: 530/718 Running data: 145/718 · Premier League only Built 2026-10-27 18:18 (Beijing time) Daily player changes →

How to read this page

Start with minutes, then ability, then market. One number never decides a player.

Role

Minutes, starts and the last-five-versus-previous-five change. A role signal is not an attitude verdict.

Ability

Percentiles within the same league and position; only metrics with enough coverage are used.

Market

A third-party reference value, not a transfer fee or salary. Missing values are never treated as zero.

This period's watches

A short list of testable stories, each tied to minutes, ability or value evidence.

Miguel Sierra Sevilla · 22 yrs Undervalued

Miguel Sierra: is the market lagging the data?

486 minutes this season, ability profile in the 60th percentile, but reference value sits in the lowest band of the covered sample.

Minutes486
AbilityP60
Reference value€534k2026-10-01
Role change+29.0%
Attack P42 Defense P75
Recoveries per 904.44P95 Successful dribbles per 902.96P93 Final-third passes per 903.33P88
P60 · 42 players Open player →
Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid · 34 yrs Sell window

Thibaut Courtois: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 81th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes810
AbilityP61
Reference value€11.5m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P58
Goals conceded per 901.00P85 Accurate passes per 9025.0P71 Saves per 903.22P71
P61 · 18 players Open player →
Jeremy Toljan Levante · 32 yrs Role rising

Jeremy Toljan: the role is expanding

Last five: 73.2 minutes per game; previous five: 21.0 (248.6%).

Minutes450
AbilityP23
Reference value€1.5m2026-10-01
Role change+248.6%
Attack P69 Defense P19
Final-third passes per 905.60P56 Clearances per 903.20P40 Aerials won per 901.00P32
P23 · 69 players Open player →

Undervalued candidates

Ability percentile above the market percentile within the observed value sample.

Miguel Sierra Sevilla · 22 yrs Undervalued

Miguel Sierra: is the market lagging the data?

486 minutes this season, ability profile in the 60th percentile, but reference value sits in the lowest band of the covered sample.

Minutes486
AbilityP60
Reference value€534k2026-10-01
Role change+29.0%
Attack P42 Defense P75
Recoveries per 904.44P95 Successful dribbles per 902.96P93 Final-third passes per 903.33P88
P60 · 42 players Open player →
Marcos Alonso Celta Vigo · 35 yrs Undervalued

Marcos Alonso: is the market lagging the data?

604 minutes this season, ability profile in the 77th percentile, but reference value sits in the 23th percentile of the covered sample.

Minutes604
AbilityP77
Reference value€1.4m2026-10-01
Role change-3.1%
Attack P45 Defense P71
Final-third passes per 9014.01P100 Accurate passes per 9073.8P94 Interceptions per 901.64P88
P77 · 69 players Open player →
Dani Lorenzo Málaga · 23 yrs Undervalued

Dani Lorenzo: is the market lagging the data?

617 minutes this season, ability profile in the 65th percentile, but reference value sits in the 13th percentile of the covered sample.

Minutes617
AbilityP65
Reference value€1.8m2026-10-01
Role change-15.0%
Attack P56 Defense P61
Successful dribbles per 902.19P97 Duels won per 906.27P89 Accurate passes per 9052.8P82
P65 · 67 players Open player →

Sell-window reviews

High reference value plus age, contract or role signals. This is not a recommendation.

Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid · 34 yrs Sell window

Thibaut Courtois: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 81th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes810
AbilityP61
Reference value€11.5m2026-10-01
Role change0.0%
Keeping P58
Goals conceded per 901.00P85 Accurate passes per 9025.0P71 Saves per 903.22P71
P61 · 18 players Open player →
Dávid Hancko Atletico Madrid · 28 yrs Sell window

Dávid Hancko: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 94th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes753
AbilityP65
Reference value€39.9m2026-10-01
Role change-32.7%
Attack P89 Defense P56
Accurate passes per 9067.3P90 Final-third passes per 909.32P88 Aerials won per 901.55P72
P65 · 69 players Open player →
Ademola Lookman Atletico Madrid · 29 yrs Sell window

Ademola Lookman: can the peak value hold?

Reference value remains in the 85th percentile, while role, contract or workload signals suggest a sell-window review.

Minutes595
AbilityP22
Reference value€40.2m2026-10-01
Role change-38.8%
Attack P82 Defense P4
Box touches per 907.56P100 Chances created per 901.81P76 Successful dribbles per 900.60P50
P22 · 67 players Open player →

Role changes

The last five appearances compared with the previous five. Both windows need at least three games.

Minutes rising8
Jeremy Toljan Levante · defender +248.6% Alex Freeman Villarreal · defender +168.7% Yan Diomande Real Madrid · forward +151.6% Pablo Maffeo Valencia · defender +115.2% Rodri Barcelona · midfielder +109.9%
Minutes falling8
Georges Mikautadze Villarreal · forward -67.2% Izan Merino Málaga · midfielder -49.6% Iñigo Arguibide Osasuna · defender -49.6% Robbie Ure Sevilla · forward -48.7% Nacho Pérez Levante · defender -44.1%

Effort watch

Distance, high-speed running and sprints in the last five games versus the previous five. Goalkeepers are excluded. Only leagues with per-match running data are compared; missing values are never treated as zero.

Running changes need a little more data

145 of 718 watch-pool players already have a running percentile. The last-five versus previous-five comparison needs at least three covered games in each window; it will appear automatically once the season sample grows.

Watch pool

Only players who pass the minutes threshold; filters never change the percentile cohort.

Showing 30 of 196 players
Player Team Position Age Minutes Ability Defense Running Reference value Role change Signal
Lamine YamalSpain · 19 Barcelona forward 19 7419 apps P9142 人 P40Defense — €225.9m+36.2% · 6M -3.1%81.2 → High ability percentile
Pablo Ramón— Racing Santander defender — 5257 apps P8369 人 P93Defense — — -14.3%71.6 → High ability percentile
Kylian MbappéFrance · 27 Real Madrid forward 27 89510 apps P8142 人 P20Defense — €120.7m-6.7% · 6M -1.1%89.0 → High ability percentile
Álvaro VallésSpain · 29 Real Betis goalkeeper 29 90010 apps P7818 人 P87Keeping — €6.0m+198.6% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Marcos AlonsoSpain · 35 Celta Vigo defender 35 6048 apps P7769 人 P71Defense — €1.4m+2.4% · 6M -3.1%74.6 → High ability percentile
Jon AramburuVenezuela · 24 Real Sociedad defender 24 6258 apps P7569 人 P79Defense — €18.7m+0.5% · 6M -1.8%77.6 → High ability percentile
Georges MikautadzeGeorgia · 25 Villarreal forward 25 49010 apps P7542 人 P27Defense — €33.2m+6.6% · 6M -67.2%24.2 → High ability percentile
Florian LejeuneFrance · 35 Rayo Vallecano defender 35 7459 apps P7469 人 P71Defense — €1.5m-42.5% · 6M -14.4%77.0 → High ability percentile
Unai SimónSpain · 29 Athletic Club goalkeeper 29 7459 apps P7418 人 P76Keeping — €21.3m-32.5% · 6M -14.4%77.0 → High ability percentile
AntonyBrazil · 26 Real Betis forward 26 6009 apps P7442 人 P69Defense — €40.9m+18.8% · 6M -41.7%50.6 → High ability percentile
RaphinhaBrazil · 29 Barcelona forward 29 5848 apps P7442 人 P17Defense — €51.7m-32.6% · 6M -6.9%71.0 → High ability percentile
Rodri— Barcelona midfielder — 5178 apps P7367 人 P70Defense — — +109.9%80.4 → High ability percentile
Morten Hjulmand— Atletico Madrid midfielder — 5129 apps P7367 人 P78Defense — — -13.5%53.2 → High ability percentile
Kang-In LeeSouth Korea · 25 Atletico Madrid forward 25 63110 apps P7242 人 P54Defense — €31.0m+21.9% · 6M +17.6%68.2 → High ability percentile
Alex FreemanUSA · 22 Villarreal defender 22 5849 apps P7269 人 P66Defense — €5.3m+198.6% · 6M +168.7%90.0 → High ability percentile
Juan Foyth— Villarreal defender — 4816 apps P7269 人 P66Defense — — -13.1%78.2 → High ability percentile
Jorge SalinasSpain · 19 Racing Santander defender 19 7179 apps P7169 人 P88Defense — €5.0m+198.6% · 6M -20.7%71.4 → High ability percentile
Kike SalasSpain · 24 Sevilla defender 24 7188 apps P7069 人 P68Defense — €14.9m+44.9% · 6M +0.8%90.0 → High ability percentile
Vinícius JúniorBrazil · 26 Real Madrid forward 26 5858 apps P7042 人 P33Defense — €116.1m+17.3% · 6M -27.0%64.2 → High ability percentile
Guido RodríguezArgentina · 32 Valencia midfielder 32 5837 apps P7067 人 P96Defense — €2.5m-3.7% · 6M -9.0%81.0 → High ability percentile
Zaid Abner RomeroArgentina · 26 Getafe defender 26 5547 apps P7069 人 P81Defense — €2.1m+28.7% · 6M -16.9%74.8 → High ability percentile
Yan DiomandeIvory Coast · 19 Real Madrid forward 19 54510 apps P7042 人 P79Defense — €58.8m+113.1% · 6M +151.6%78.0 → High ability percentile
Anthony Gordon— Barcelona forward — 4958 apps P7042 人 P39Defense — — +3.1%62.6 → High ability percentile
Pablo Barrios— Atletico Madrid midfielder — 4517 apps P7067 人 P52Defense — — +18.2%67.4 → High ability percentile
Péter Gulácsi— Villarreal goalkeeper — 5406 apps P6918 人 P74Keeping — — 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Pau Cubarsí— Barcelona defender — 5126 apps P6969 人 P57Defense — — -6.2%84.4 → High ability percentile
César Tárrega— Valencia defender — 5107 apps P6969 人 P75Defense — — -26.7%66.0 → High ability percentile
Marc RocaSpain · 29 Real Betis midfielder 29 5967 apps P6867 人 P77Defense — €2.7m-0.2% · 6M +11.8%87.8 → High ability percentile
Ionut RaduRomania · 29 Celta Vigo goalkeeper 29 8109 apps P6618 人 P68Keeping — €10.5m+141.1% · 6M 0.0%90.0 → High ability percentile
Jon MartínSpain · 20 Real Sociedad defender 20 7269 apps P6669 人 P69Defense — €23.8m+77.2% · 6M -18.7%73.2 → High ability percentile

Data boundaries

  • Reference values are third-party estimates with their own dates; they are not transfer fees, salaries or release clauses.
  • Percentiles compare players in the same league and position; if that cohort is too small, the page falls back to the same position across the five leagues.
  • Minutes falling can reflect rotation, injury, suspension or tactics. Running data currently covers only some leagues and missing values are not zero; neither signal alone can prove attitude or a decline in ability.
  • This page does not publish transfer rumours, medical claims or betting advice.