Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Athletic Club | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.66 | 0.55 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.2 | 1.49 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 6 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.7 | 15.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 471 | 333 |
What the data says
Athletic Club vs Getafe: what the data says
Home last five: 1.80 points, 2.02 xG for, 1.01 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 0.82 / 1.71.
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Athletic Club
- injured Gorka Guruzeta return: Out for season
- injured Oihan Sancet return: Early November 2026
- injured Unai Egiluz return: Mid January 2027
- suspended Aymeric Laporte return: Late October 2026
Getafe
- injured Christantus Uche return: Out for season
- injured Juanmi return: doubtful
- injured Orel Mangala return: Early November 2026
- injured Zaid Abner Romero return: Back in training
- suspended Djené return: Late October 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Athletic Club 10 · 14 14 draws · 6 Getafe
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Getafe | 2 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 2025-10-25 | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | Getafe |
| 2025-05-15 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 2024-08-15 | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 2024-05-03 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage