La Liga Round 8 2026-10-10 · 16:30 UTC finished
Barcelona (home)
VS Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
Getafe (away)
Prediction
83% Barcelona (home) Model favorite
12% Draw
6% Getafe (away)
Expected goals 2.56 — 0.69 Over 2.5 goals: 63% Both teams to score: 46%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Barcelona Getafe
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 4.130.67
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.31.2
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 2120
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 6.6 15.2
Matches in the last 7 days 00
Matches in the next 7 days 31
Travel to this match (km) 825505

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Barcelona

  • injured Andreas Christensen return: Late October 2026
  • injured Frenkie de Jong return: Back in training
  • injured Raphinha return: A few weeks
  • injured Roony Bardghji return: Late February 2027

Getafe

  • injured Christantus Uche return: Out for season
  • injured Enes Ünal return: doubtful
  • injured Juanmi return: doubtful

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Barcelona 23 · 7 7 draws · 2 Getafe

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-25Getafe 0 - 2Barcelona
2025-09-21Barcelona 3 - 0Getafe
2025-01-18Getafe 1 - 1Barcelona
2024-09-25Barcelona 1 - 0Getafe
2024-02-24Barcelona 4 - 0Getafe
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available