Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Borussia M.Gladbach | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 8 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.5 | 15.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 334 | 173 |
What the data says
Borussia M.Gladbach vs Paderborn: what the data says
Home last five: 0.00 points, 1.61 xG for, 2.47 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 1.17 / 2.25.
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Borussia M.Gladbach
- injured Enzo Leopold return: Late May 2027
- injured Franck Honorat return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Fritz Fleck return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Isac Lidberg return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Jan Leszczynski return: Early December 2026
- injured Jens Castrop return: Late October 2026
- injured Ko Itakura return: Back in training
- injured Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn return: Back in training
- injured Tim Kleindienst return: About 1-2 weeks
Paderborn
- injured Marcel Hoffmeier return: A few weeks
- injured Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant return: Late October 2026
- injured Oliver Batista Meier return: Mid November 2026
- injured Sebastian Klaas return: Late October 2026
- injured Timur Gayret return: Early January 2027
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Borussia M.Gladbach 5 · 0 0 draws · 2 Paderborn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 3 | Paderborn |
| 2020-08-22 | Paderborn | 0 - 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-06-20 | Paderborn | 1 - 3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-12-18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 - 0 | Paderborn |
| 2015-03-01 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2 - 0 | Paderborn |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage