La Liga Round 11 2026-11-01 · 14:00 UTC scheduled
Prediction
36% Getafe (home)
33% Draw
31% Sevilla (away)
Expected goals 1.23 — 1.14 Over 2.5 goals: 42% Both teams to score: 48%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Getafe Sevilla
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 0.471.09
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.471.13
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 76
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 15.2 12.3
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 333381

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Getafe vs Sevilla: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 0.82 xG for, 1.71 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.50 / 1.59.

GetafeSevilla
0.8 Big chances created per match 2.2
0.60 Goals per match 1.40
2.6 Big chances faced per match 1.2

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Getafe

  • injured Christantus Uche return: Out for season
  • injured Juanmi return: doubtful
  • injured Orel Mangala return: Early November 2026
  • injured Zaid Abner Romero return: Back in training
  • suspended Mario Martín return: Early November 2026

Sevilla

  • injured Marcão return: Early November 2026
  • injured Miguel Sierra return: Early December 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Getafe 10 · 4 4 draws · 17 Sevilla

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-22Getafe 0 - 1Sevilla
2025-08-25Sevilla 1 - 2Getafe
2025-02-01Getafe 0 - 0Sevilla
2024-09-14Sevilla 1 - 0Getafe
2024-03-30Getafe 0 - 1Sevilla
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available