Eredivisie Round 10 2026-10-23 · 18:00 UTC finished
Go Ahead Eagles (home)
VS De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Telstar (away)
Prediction
51% Go Ahead Eagles (home) Model favorite
27% Draw
22% Telstar (away)
Expected goals 1.81 — 1.28 Over 2.5 goals: 60% Both teams to score: 60%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Go Ahead Eagles Telstar
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.741.39
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.773.81
Sample size (matches with xG data) 11
Rest days since last match 56
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 29107

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability is below 70%; in backtests matches in this band end as predicted about 53.4% of the time.
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Go Ahead Eagles

  • injured Eus Waayers return: Day to day
  • injured Nick Marsman return: Early January 2027
  • injured Pim Saathof return: Day to day

Telstar

No reported absentees.

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Go Ahead Eagles 10 · 3 3 draws · 6 Telstar

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-02-08Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1Telstar
2026-02-05Telstar 2 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
2025-09-28Telstar 4 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
2024-07-03Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 0Telstar
2021-02-13Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 0Telstar
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available