Eredivisie Round 11 2026-11-01 · 13:30 UTC scheduled
Telstar (home)
VS BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
FC Utrecht (away)
Prediction
32% Telstar (home)
29% Draw
39% FC Utrecht (away)
Expected goals 1.42 — 1.59 Over 2.5 goals: 58% Both teams to score: 60%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Telstar FC Utrecht
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.221.43
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 2.461.11
Sample size (matches with xG data) 22
Rest days since last match 98
Matches in the last 7 days 12
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 10754

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Telstar

No reported absentees.

FC Utrecht

  • injured Alonzo Engwanda return: Day to day
  • injured Kevin Paredes return: Day to day
  • injured Miliano Jonathans return: Day to day
  • injured Noah Ohio return: Early January 2027
  • injured Victor Jensen return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Telstar 0 · 1 1 draws · 1 FC Utrecht

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-11FC Utrecht 4 - 1Telstar
2025-11-23Telstar 1 - 1FC Utrecht
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available