19:45 UTC
Roma
vs
Cagliari
76%Roma
16%Draw
8%Cagliari
away · Roma
View Analysis →
Cagliari
Upcoming matches
Roma
vs
Cagliari
14:00 UTC
Lazio
vs
Cagliari
60%Lazio
23%Draw
18%Cagliari
away · Lazio
View Analysis →
14:00 UTC
Cagliari
vs
Frosinone
No prediction available for this match yet.
home · Frosinone
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14:00 UTC
Como
vs
Cagliari
No prediction available for this match yet.
away · Como
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19:45 UTC
Cagliari
vs
AC Milan
No prediction available for this match yet.
home · AC Milan
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19:45 UTC
Fiorentina
vs
Cagliari
No prediction available for this match yet.
away · Fiorentina
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14:00 UTC
Cagliari
vs
Venezia
No prediction available for this match yet.
home · Venezia
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14:00 UTC
Torino
vs
Cagliari
No prediction available for this match yet.
away · Torino
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11:30 UTC
Cagliari
vs
Genoa
No prediction available for this match yet.
home · Genoa
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19:45 UTC
Napoli
vs
Cagliari
No prediction available for this match yet.
away · Napoli
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Recent results
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Cagliari vs Bologna | 0:2 |
| 2026-10-19 | Monza vs Cagliari | 4:0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari vs Juventus | 1:1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Udinese vs Cagliari | 0:1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Atalanta vs Cagliari | 1:2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Cagliari vs Lecce | 1:0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Cagliari vs Inter | 0:1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Parma vs Cagliari | 0:1 |
What's changing
Match data
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-27
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.83 xG for, 1.73 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.14 / 1.86.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-27
Lazio vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.60 points, 1.77 xG for, 1.37 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.14 / 1.86.
Recent 5 vs previous 5
| Metric | Recent 5 | Previous 5 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.2 | -8% |
| xGA per match | 1.96 | 1.73 | +13% |
| Non-penalty xG per match | 1.1 | 1.01 | +9% |
| Non-penalty xGA per match | 1.77 | 1.73 | +2% |
| Deep completions per match | 2.75 | 3.0 | -8% |
| Deep completions allowed per match | 10.25 | 9.5 | +8% |
| Goals per match | 0.5 | 1.0 | -50% |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 0.5 | +250% |
| Expected points per game | 0.73 | 1.32 | -45% |
| Points per game | 1.0 | 2.25 | -56% |
Insight timeline
Daily snapshots for this team, newest first. Expand a date to see that day's signals.
2026-10-272
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-27
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.83 xG for, 1.73 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.14 / 1.86.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-27
Lazio vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.60 points, 1.77 xG for, 1.37 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.14 / 1.86.
2026-10-234
Results vs underlying
▲
Limited evidence
Serie A
2026-10-23
Cagliari are getting results beyond their underlying numbers
Over the last 6 matches, points per game (2.17) vs expected points per game (1.01): gap +1.16.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+1.36
97%
Points vs expected points
1.01 → 2.17
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-23
Cagliari vs Bologna: what the data says
Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.00 xG for, 2.02 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.53 / 1.97.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-23
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.15 xG for, 1.29 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.00 / 2.02.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-23
Lazio vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.60 points, 1.83 xG for, 1.34 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.00 / 2.02.
2026-10-223
Results vs underlying
▲
Limited evidence
Serie A
2026-10-22
Cagliari are getting results beyond their underlying numbers
Over the last 6 matches, points per game (2.17) vs expected points per game (1.01): gap +1.16.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+1.36
97%
Points vs expected points
1.01 → 2.17
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-22
Cagliari vs Bologna: what the data says
Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.00 xG for, 2.02 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.53 / 1.97.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-22
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.15 xG for, 1.29 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.00 / 2.02.
2026-10-213
Results vs underlying
▲
Limited evidence
Serie A
2026-10-21
Cagliari are getting results beyond their underlying numbers
Over the last 6 matches, points per game (2.17) vs expected points per game (1.01): gap +1.16.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+1.36
97%
Points vs expected points
1.01 → 2.17
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-21
Cagliari vs Bologna: what the data says
Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.00 xG for, 2.02 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.53 / 1.97.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-21
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.15 xG for, 1.29 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.00 / 2.02.
2026-10-203
Results vs underlying
▲
Limited evidence
Serie A
2026-10-20
Cagliari are getting results beyond their underlying numbers
Over the last 6 matches, points per game (2.17) vs expected points per game (1.01): gap +1.16.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+1.36
97%
Points vs expected points
1.01 → 2.17
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-20
Cagliari vs Bologna: what the data says
Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.00 xG for, 2.02 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.53 / 1.97.
Match data
Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-10-20
Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says
Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.15 xG for, 1.29 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.00 / 2.02.