Football Insights

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Updated Premier League 2026-10-27

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.25 to 2.50 (+900%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality faced +0.75 34%

Points per game 0.25 → 2.5

Results ▲ Limited evidence New Serie A 2026-10-27

Bologna's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.25 to 1.75 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.47; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +0.94 34%

Points per game 0.25 → 1.75

Results ▲ Limited evidence New Premier League 2026-10-27

Fulham's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.25 to 1.75 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.37; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality faced +1.29 68%

Points per game 0.25 → 1.75

Results ▲ Limited evidence New Ligue 1 2026-10-27

Nice's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 2.25 (+350%); the previous-season baseline is 0.94; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Multiple factors +1.04 29%

Points per game 0.5 → 2.25

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Updated La Liga 2026-10-27

Elche's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.40 to 1.60 (+300%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Goalkeeping & opponent finishing +1.47 37%

Points per game 0.4 → 1.6

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Updated Ligue 1 2026-10-27

Toulouse's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 2.00 (+300%); the previous-season baseline is 1.32; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +1.71 50%

Points per game 0.5 → 2.0

Results ▲ Limited evidence New Premier League 2026-10-27

Tottenham's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 1.75 (+250%); the previous-season baseline is 1.08; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +1.7 48%

Points per game 0.5 → 1.75

Results ▲ Moderate evidence New Serie A 2026-10-27

Torino's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.75 to 2.50 (+233%); the previous-season baseline is 1.18; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +0.97 34%

Points per game 0.75 → 2.5

Defense ▼ Limited evidence New Bundesliga 2026-10-27

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive numbers are sliding

Over the last 3 matches xGA per match moved from 0.67 to 2.19 (+225%); the previous-season baseline is 1.50; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced -0.78 52%

xGA per match 0.67 → 2.19

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Updated La Liga 2026-10-27

Celta Vigo's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.60 to 1.80 (+200%); the previous-season baseline is 1.42; 5 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality faced +0.98 48%

Points per game 0.6 → 1.8

Results ▲ Limited evidence New Ligue 1 2026-10-27

Marseille's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.75 to 2.25 (+200%); the previous-season baseline is 1.74; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +1.15 35%

Points per game 0.75 → 2.25

Attack ▲ Limited evidence New Serie A 2026-10-27

Atalanta's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 4 matches xG per match moved from 0.84 to 2.41 (+188%); the previous-season baseline is 1.81; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +1.25 79%

xG per match 0.84 → 2.41

Player role ▼ Limited evidence New Ligue 1 Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-25

AP 46

Arthur Piedfort midfielder Auxerre Ligue 1

Arthur Piedfort's role has shrunk

Minutes per appearance over the last 4: 34.00, previous 4: 84.75 (-50.75 min); start rate 50%.

Minutes per appearance 84.8 → 34.0 -50.8

Average rating 6.46 → 3.19 -3.28

Chances created per appearance 0.50 → 0.00 -0.50

Player role ▼ Limited evidence New La Liga Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-25

DD 24

Denzel Dumfries midfielder Real Madrid La Liga

Denzel Dumfries's role has shrunk

Minutes per appearance over the last 4: 30.75, previous 4: 81.00 (-50.25 min); start rate 25%.

Minutes per appearance 81.0 → 30.8 -50.2

Average rating 7.06 → 3.21 -3.84

Chances created per appearance 0.75 → 0.50 -0.25

Player form ▼ Limited evidence New La Liga Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-25

DD 24

Denzel Dumfries midfielder Real Madrid La Liga

Denzel Dumfries's form has dipped

Average rating over the last 4 appearances: 3.21, previous 4: 7.06 (-3.84); 4 of 4 appearances moved the same way.

Average rating 7.06 → 3.21 -3.84

Minutes per appearance 81.0 → 30.8 -50.2

Chances created per appearance 0.75 → 0.50 -0.25

Player form ▼ Limited evidence New La Liga Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-24

MF 18

Marcos Fernández forward Espanyol La Liga

Marcos Fernández's form has dipped

Average rating over the last 4 appearances: 3.14, previous 4: 6.91 (-3.77); 4 of 4 appearances moved the same way.

Average rating 6.91 → 3.14 -3.77

Minutes per appearance 30.2 → 16.5 -13.8

Goals per appearance 0.25 → 0.00 -0.25

Player form ▼ Limited evidence New Ligue 1 Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-25

AP 46

Arthur Piedfort midfielder Auxerre Ligue 1

Arthur Piedfort's form has dipped

Average rating over the last 4 appearances: 3.19, previous 4: 6.46 (-3.28); 3 of 4 appearances moved the same way.

Average rating 6.46 → 3.19 -3.28

Minutes per appearance 84.8 → 34.0 -50.8

Chances created per appearance 0.50 → 0.00 -0.50

Player form ▼ Limited evidence New La Liga Analysed 2026-10-27 17:21 Data through 2026-10-24

MH 23

Morten Hjulmand midfielder Atletico Madrid La Liga

Morten Hjulmand's form has dipped

Average rating over the last 4 appearances: 5.44, previous 4: 7.48 (-2.04); season baseline 7.23; 3 of 4 appearances moved the same way.

Average rating 7.48 → 5.44 -2.04

Minutes per appearance 81.0 → 44.0 -37.0

Chances created per appearance 1.75 → 0.50 -1.25