Football Insights

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 1.60 xG for, 1.87 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 2.23 / 2.01.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Frosinone vs Lecce: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.85 xG for, 2.76 against per game. Away: 1.20 / 1.70 / 1.79.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

AC Milan vs Inter: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.84 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 2.60 / 3.10 / 1.21.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Bologna vs Monza: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.28 xG for, 1.65 against per game. Away: 1.20 / 1.66 / 2.12.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Udinese vs Roma: what the data says

Home last five: 0.00 points, 1.02 xG for, 2.61 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 1.83 / 1.73.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Como vs Venezia: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 2.47 xG for, 1.60 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.58 / 2.23.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Frosinone vs Torino: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.85 xG for, 2.76 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.36 / 1.06.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Juventus vs Napoli: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.38 xG for, 0.77 against per game. Away: 1.60 / 2.69 / 0.93.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Lazio vs Cagliari: what the data says

Home last five: 2.60 points, 1.77 xG for, 1.37 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.14 / 1.86.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Lecce vs Genoa: what the data says

Home last five: 1.20 points, 1.70 xG for, 1.79 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.06 / 1.29.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Atalanta vs Parma: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 2.23 xG for, 2.01 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.01 / 2.11.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 1.33 xG for, 1.99 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 1.60 / 1.87.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Venezia vs Udinese: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.58 xG for, 2.23 against per game. Away: 0.00 / 1.02 / 2.61.

Match data Moderate evidence New Serie A 2026-10-29

Cagliari vs Frosinone: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.14 xG for, 1.86 against per game. Away: 1.60 / 1.85 / 2.76.

Results ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Bologna's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.25 to 1.75 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.47; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +0.94 34%

Points per game 0.25 → 1.75

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Torino's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.75 to 2.50 (+233%); the previous-season baseline is 1.18; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +0.97 34%

Points per game 0.75 → 2.5

Attack ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Atalanta's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 4 matches xG per match moved from 0.84 to 2.41 (+188%); the previous-season baseline is 1.81; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +1.25 79%

xG per match 0.84 → 2.41

Results vs underlying ▲ Moderate evidence Ongoing Serie A 2026-10-29

Frosinone are getting results beyond their underlying numbers

Over the last 8 matches, points per game (1.75) vs expected points per game (0.95): gap +0.80.

Primary driver Goalkeeping & opponent finishing +0.96 68%

Points vs expected points 0.95 → 1.75