Football Insights

What is changing across the big five leagues — each date lists only new or materially updated signals, with the evidence and counter evidence behind every claim.
Daily archive → Player Watch → Insight date · 2026-10-29 Data through 2026-10-29 Showing 16 of 16 ← Previous day
New & updated · 4 All changes · 16
All insights Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1 Player Watch → Team changes Daily player changes Match data
2026-10-29 17 2026-10-28 8 2026-10-27 89 2026-10-23 16 2026-10-22 24 2026-10-21 3 2026-10-20 92

Match data

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Augsburg vs Freiburg: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.86 xG for, 2.72 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.75 / 1.53.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 1.80 xG for, 1.67 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 2.11 / 2.29.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: what the data says

Home last five: 2.60 points, 3.95 xG for, 1.00 against per game. Away: 2.20 / 2.12 / 0.72.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Paderborn: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.56 xG for, 2.26 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.30 / 2.10.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.15 xG for, 1.41 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 2.37 / 2.14.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.99 xG for, 1.64 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 2.19 / 1.34.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.66 xG for, 2.53 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 1.24 / 1.91.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.08 xG for, 2.13 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.51 / 1.20.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.Gladbach: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.24 xG for, 1.91 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.56 / 2.26.
Match data Moderate evidence New Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: what the data says

Home last five: 1.20 points, 2.26 xG for, 2.18 against per game. Away: 2.60 / 3.95 / 1.00.
Match data Moderate evidence New Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.30 xG for, 2.10 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.66 / 2.53.
Match data Moderate evidence New Bundesliga 2026-10-29

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 2.37 xG for, 2.14 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.86 / 2.72.
Match data Moderate evidence New Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 2.11 xG for, 2.29 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 1.99 / 1.64.

Team changes

Defense ▼ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive numbers are sliding

Over the last 3 matches xGA per match moved from 0.67 to 2.19 (+225%); the previous-season baseline is 1.50; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced -0.78 52%
xGA per match 0.67 → 2.19
Attack ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Augsburg's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 3 matches xG per match moved from 1.01 to 2.57 (+155%); the previous-season baseline is 1.51; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.93 65%
xG per match 1.01 → 2.57
Attack ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-10-29

Paderborn's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 3 matches xG per match moved from 0.80 to 1.61 (+102%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +0.51 63%
xG per match 0.8 → 1.61