Football Insights

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: what the data says

Home last five: 1.20 points, 1.50 xG for, 1.06 against per game. Away: 2.40 / 1.95 / 1.68.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Elche vs Valencia: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.13 xG for, 1.70 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.51 / 1.41.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Getafe vs Sevilla: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 0.58 xG for, 1.84 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.50 / 1.59.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna: what the data says

Home last five: 0.40 points, 1.63 xG for, 1.19 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 1.40 / 2.16.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alaves: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.50 xG for, 1.59 against per game. Away: 0.40 / 1.07 / 1.17.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña: what the data says

Home last five: 0.20 points, 0.94 xG for, 1.67 against per game. Away: 0.40 / 1.63 / 1.19.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Osasuna vs Athletic Club: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 1.40 xG for, 2.16 against per game. Away: 1.20 / 1.50 / 1.06.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Valencia vs Real Madrid: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.51 xG for, 1.41 against per game. Away: 2.40 / 2.11 / 1.30.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: what the data says

Home last five: 3.00 points, 2.71 xG for, 0.97 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 3.92 / 1.26.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Celta Vigo vs Levante: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.14 xG for, 0.85 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.22 / 2.72.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Elche vs Real Betis: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.13 xG for, 1.70 against per game. Away: 1.60 / 1.74 / 1.48.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: what the data says

Home last five: 2.40 points, 1.95 xG for, 1.68 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.58 / 1.70.

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Villarreal vs Getafe: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 2.57 xG for, 0.82 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 0.58 / 1.84.

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Elche's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.40 to 1.60 (+300%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Goalkeeping & opponent finishing +1.47 37%

Points per game 0.4 → 1.6

Results ▲ Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Celta Vigo's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.60 to 1.80 (+200%); the previous-season baseline is 1.42; 5 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality faced +0.98 48%

Points per game 0.6 → 1.8

Defense ▼ Limited evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Osasuna's defensive numbers are sliding

Over the last 4 matches xGA per match moved from 1.05 to 2.34 (+123%); the previous-season baseline is 1.36; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced -1.33 82%

xGA per match 1.05 → 2.34

Results vs underlying ▲ Moderate evidence Ongoing La Liga 2026-11-01

Real Sociedad are getting results beyond their underlying numbers

Over the last 8 matches, points per game (2.38) vs expected points per game (1.51): gap +0.86.

Primary driver Finishing +0.43 95%

Points vs expected points 1.51 → 2.38