Football Insights

What is changing across the big five leagues — each date lists only new or materially updated signals, with the evidence and counter evidence behind every claim.
Daily archive → Player Watch → Insight date · 2026-11-01 Data through 2026-11-01 Showing 13 of 13 ← Previous day
New & updated · 0 All changes · 13
All insights Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1 Player Watch → Team changes Daily player changes Match data
2026-11-01 2 2026-10-31 0 2026-10-30 24 2026-10-29 17 2026-10-28 8 2026-10-27 89 2026-10-23 16

Match data

Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.66 xG for, 2.53 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 1.24 / 1.91.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.08 xG for, 2.13 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.51 / 1.20.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.Gladbach: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.24 xG for, 1.91 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.56 / 2.26.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: what the data says

Home last five: 1.20 points, 2.26 xG for, 2.18 against per game. Away: 2.60 / 3.95 / 1.00.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.30 xG for, 2.10 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.66 / 2.53.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 2.37 xG for, 2.14 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.86 / 2.72.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 2.11 xG for, 2.29 against per game. Away: 1.80 / 1.99 / 1.64.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

FC Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 1.51 xG for, 1.20 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.80 / 1.67.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Freiburg vs Union Berlin: what the data says

Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.75 xG for, 1.53 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.08 / 2.13.
Match data Moderate evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 2.19 xG for, 1.34 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.15 / 1.41.

Team changes

Defense ▼ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive numbers are sliding

Over the last 3 matches xGA per match moved from 0.67 to 2.19 (+225%); the previous-season baseline is 1.50; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced -0.78 52%
xGA per match 0.67 → 2.19
Attack ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Augsburg's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 3 matches xG per match moved from 1.01 to 2.57 (+155%); the previous-season baseline is 1.51; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.93 65%
xG per match 1.01 → 2.57
Attack ▲ Limited evidence Ongoing Bundesliga 2026-11-01

Paderborn's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 3 matches xG per match moved from 0.80 to 1.61 (+102%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +0.51 63%
xG per match 0.8 → 1.61