Aston Villa

Premier League Birmingham Home ground: Villa Park

Upcoming matches

20:00 UTC
Aston Villa vs Fulham
46%Aston Villa 26%Draw 28%Fulham
Confidence: Low (40–50%) Expected goals 1.65 — 1.13
home · Fulham
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20:00 UTC
Barcelona vs Aston Villa
61%Barcelona 18%Draw 21%Aston Villa
Confidence: Medium (60–70%) Expected goals 2.17 — 1.36
away · Barcelona
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16:30 UTC
Manchester United vs Aston Villa

No prediction available for this match yet.

away · Manchester United
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15:00 UTC
Aston Villa vs Sunderland

No prediction available for this match yet.

home · Sunderland
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17:45 UTC
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa

No prediction available for this match yet.

away · Galatasaray
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15:00 UTC
Ipswich vs Aston Villa

No prediction available for this match yet.

away · Ipswich
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20:00 UTC
Aston Villa vs Everton

No prediction available for this match yet.

home · Everton
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15:00 UTC
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

No prediction available for this match yet.

home · Crystal Palace
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20:00 UTC
Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain

No prediction available for this match yet.

home · Paris Saint Germain
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16:30 UTC
Coventry vs Aston Villa

No prediction available for this match yet.

away · Coventry
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Recent results

DateMatchScore
2026-10-24 Aston Villa vs Manchester City 2:1
2026-10-21 Aston Villa vs Viking 3:1
2026-10-17 Newcastle United vs Aston Villa 0:1
2026-10-14 Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe 6:0
2026-10-10 Aston Villa vs Brentford 2:2
2026-09-19 Tottenham vs Aston Villa 2:3
2026-09-12 Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 1:2
2026-09-08 Club Brugge vs Aston Villa 2:3
2026-09-05 Hull vs Aston Villa 0:0
2026-08-31 Aston Villa vs Arsenal 0:1

What's changing

Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 3 matches points per game moved from 0.33 to 2.33 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.95 34%
Points per game 0.33 → 2.33

Match data

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.32 / 1.53.
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa vs Fulham: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.92 / 1.53.

Recent 5 vs previous 5

MetricRecent 5 Previous 5Change
xG per match 1.88 1.0 +87%
xGA per match 1.31 1.71 -24%
Non-penalty xG per match 1.88 1.0 +87%
Non-penalty xGA per match 1.31 1.71 -24%
Deep completions per match 9.0 6.67 +35%
Deep completions allowed per match 9.33 6.67 +40%
Goals per match 2.0 0.33 +500%
Goals conceded per match 1.33 1.0 +33%
Expected points per game 1.79 0.86 +107%
Points per game 2.33 0.33 +600%

Insight timeline

Daily snapshots for this team, newest first. Expand a date to see that day's signals.

2026-10-233
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 3 matches points per game moved from 0.33 to 2.33 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.95 34%
Points per game 0.33 → 2.33
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.32 / 1.53.
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-23

Aston Villa vs Fulham: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.92 / 1.53.
2026-10-223
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-10-22

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 3 matches points per game moved from 0.33 to 2.33 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.95 34%
Points per game 0.33 → 2.33
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-22

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.32 / 1.53.
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-22

Aston Villa vs Fulham: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.92 / 1.53.
2026-10-212
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-10-21

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 3 matches points per game moved from 0.33 to 2.33 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.95 34%
Points per game 0.33 → 2.33
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-21

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.32 / 1.53.
2026-10-202
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-10-20

Aston Villa's results have picked up

Over the last 3 matches points per game moved from 0.33 to 2.33 (+600%); the previous-season baseline is 1.71; 3 of 3 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot volume +0.95 34%
Points per game 0.33 → 2.33
Match data Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-10-20

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 1.67 xG for, 1.51 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.32 / 1.53.