Team Observations

Team-level data articles: what changed in attack, defence, form or results.
Results ▲ Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-11-02

Tottenham's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 2.50 (+400%); the previous-season baseline is 1.08; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +1.19 42%
Points per game 0.5 → 2.5
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-11-02

Fulham's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 1.75 (+250%); the previous-season baseline is 1.37; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced +0.59 35%
Points per game 0.5 → 1.75
Results ▲ Limited evidence Premier League 2026-11-02

Bournemouth's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.75 to 2.25 (+200%); the previous-season baseline is 1.50; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +0.79 59%
Points per game 0.75 → 2.25
Results vs underlying ▼ Moderate evidence Premier League 2026-11-02

Nottingham Forest's results are worse than their underlying numbers

Over the last 8 matches, points per game (0.75) vs expected points per game (1.88): gap -1.13.

Primary driver Finishing -1.26 86%
Points vs expected points 1.88 → 0.75