Team Observations
Results
▲
Moderate evidence
Ligue 1
2026-11-02
Toulouse's results have picked up
Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.50 to 2.00 (+300%); the previous-season baseline is 1.32; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Finishing
+1.71
50%
Points per game
0.5 → 2.0
Results
▲
Limited evidence
Ligue 1
2026-11-02
Marseille's results have picked up
Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.75 to 2.25 (+200%); the previous-season baseline is 1.74; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Finishing
+1.15
35%
Points per game
0.75 → 2.25
Results
▲
Limited evidence
Ligue 1
2026-11-02
Nice's results have picked up
Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 1.00 to 2.25 (+125%); the previous-season baseline is 0.94; 3 of 4 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Finishing
+1.05
50%
Points per game
1.0 → 2.25
Results vs underlying
▼
Moderate evidence
Ligue 1
2026-11-02
Le Havre's results are worse than their underlying numbers
Over the last 8 matches, points per game (0.25) vs expected points per game (1.06): gap -0.81.
Primary driver
Finishing
-0.47
61%
Points vs expected points
1.06 → 0.25