Team Observations
Results
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Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-11-02
Genoa's results have picked up
Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.20 to 2.40 (+1100%); the previous-season baseline is 1.08; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+0.94
41%
Points per game
0.2 → 2.4
Results
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Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-11-02
Bologna's results have picked up
Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.40 to 2.40 (+500%); the previous-season baseline is 1.47; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Finishing
+1.26
36%
Points per game
0.4 → 2.4
Attack
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Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-11-02
Atalanta's attacking output has jumped
Over the last 4 matches xG per match moved from 0.73 to 2.59 (+256%); the previous-season baseline is 1.81; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Shot quality
+1.52
82%
xG per match
0.73 → 2.59
Results vs underlying
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Moderate evidence
Serie A
2026-11-02
Udinese's results are worse than their underlying numbers
Over the last 8 matches, points per game (0.12) vs expected points per game (0.71): gap -0.58.
Primary driver
Finishing
-0.26
78%
Points vs expected points
0.71 → 0.12