Team Observations

Team-level data articles: what changed in attack, defence, form or results.
Results ▲ Moderate evidence Bundesliga 2026-11-02

Union Berlin's results have picked up

Over the last 4 matches points per game moved from 0.25 to 1.50 (+500%); the previous-season baseline is 1.15; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality faced +1.25 36%
Points per game 0.25 → 1.5
Defense ▼ Moderate evidence Bundesliga 2026-11-02

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive numbers are sliding

Over the last 4 matches xGA per match moved from 0.86 to 2.41 (+182%); the previous-season baseline is 1.50; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shots faced -0.78 50%
xGA per match 0.86 → 2.41
Attack ▲ Moderate evidence Bundesliga 2026-11-02

Paderborn's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 4 matches xG per match moved from 0.77 to 1.42 (+85%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +0.37 57%
xG per match 0.77 → 1.42
Results vs underlying ▼ Moderate evidence Bundesliga 2026-11-02

Borussia M.Gladbach's results are worse than their underlying numbers

Over the last 8 matches, points per game (0.50) vs expected points per game (0.98): gap -0.48.

Primary driver Goalkeeping & opponent finishing -0.38 57%
Points vs expected points 0.98 → 0.5