Team Observations
Results
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Moderate evidence
La Liga
2026-11-02
Elche's results have picked up
Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.20 to 1.60 (+700%); the previous-season baseline is 1.13; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Goalkeeping & opponent finishing
+1.18
33%
Points per game
0.2 → 1.6
Results
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Moderate evidence
La Liga
2026-11-02
Celta Vigo's results have picked up
Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.60 to 1.60 (+167%); the previous-season baseline is 1.42; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Shot quality faced
+0.74
48%
Points per game
0.6 → 1.6
Attack
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Moderate evidence
La Liga
2026-11-02
Valencia's attacking output has jumped
Over the last 5 matches xG per match moved from 0.75 to 1.57 (+110%); the previous-season baseline is 1.42; 5 of 5 matches moved the same way.
Primary driver
Shot quality
+0.56
68%
xG per match
0.75 → 1.57
Results vs underlying
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Moderate evidence
La Liga
2026-11-02
Real Sociedad are getting results beyond their underlying numbers
Over the last 8 matches, points per game (2.38) vs expected points per game (1.51): gap +0.86.
Primary driver
Finishing
+0.43
95%
Points vs expected points
1.51 → 2.38