Football Insights

What is changing across the big five leagues — each date lists only new or materially updated signals, with the evidence and counter evidence behind every claim.
Daily archive → Player Watch → Insight date · 2026-11-02 Data through 2026-11-02 Showing 16 of 16 ← Previous day
New & updated · 16 All changes · 16
All insights Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1 Player Watch → Team changes Daily player changes Match data
2026-11-02 80 2026-11-01 2 2026-10-31 0 2026-10-30 24 2026-10-29 17 2026-10-28 8 2026-10-27 89

Match data

Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Atalanta vs Parma: what the data says

Home last five: 1.00 points, 2.17 xG for, 2.13 against per game. Away: 0.80 / 0.92 / 1.68.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: what the data says

Home last five: 0.20 points, 1.36 xG for, 2.62 against per game. Away: 0.40 / 1.36 / 1.90.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Venezia vs Udinese: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.33 xG for, 2.03 against per game. Away: 0.20 / 1.02 / 2.85.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Cagliari vs Frosinone: what the data says

Home last five: 0.20 points, 1.53 xG for, 2.20 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 2.28 / 2.41.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Parma vs Bologna: what the data says

Home last five: 0.80 points, 0.92 xG for, 1.68 against per game. Away: 2.40 / 2.06 / 1.74.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Roma vs Sassuolo: what the data says

Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.31 xG for, 1.87 against per game. Away: 0.20 / 1.36 / 2.62.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Torino vs Lecce: what the data says

Home last five: 1.80 points, 1.49 xG for, 1.39 against per game. Away: 0.60 / 1.86 / 1.92.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Fiorentina vs Juventus: what the data says

Home last five: 0.40 points, 1.36 xG for, 1.90 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 1.40 / 0.76.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Genoa vs AC Milan: what the data says

Home last five: 2.40 points, 1.11 xG for, 1.32 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 2.12 / 1.63.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Inter vs Como: what the data says

Home last five: 2.40 points, 2.72 xG for, 0.97 against per game. Away: 2.60 / 2.13 / 1.16.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Monza vs Atalanta: what the data says

Home last five: 0.60 points, 1.25 xG for, 2.33 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 2.17 / 2.13.
Match data Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Napoli vs Lazio: what the data says

Home last five: 1.60 points, 2.74 xG for, 1.09 against per game. Away: 3.00 / 2.05 / 1.06.

Team changes

Results ▲ Moderate evidence New Serie A 2026-11-02

Genoa's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.20 to 2.40 (+1100%); the previous-season baseline is 1.08; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Goalkeeping & opponent finishing +0.94 41%
Points per game 0.2 → 2.4
Results ▲ Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Bologna's results have picked up

Over the last 5 matches points per game moved from 0.40 to 2.40 (+500%); the previous-season baseline is 1.47; 4 of 5 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Finishing +1.26 36%
Points per game 0.4 → 2.4
Attack ▲ Moderate evidence Updated Serie A 2026-11-02

Atalanta's attacking output has jumped

Over the last 4 matches xG per match moved from 0.73 to 2.59 (+256%); the previous-season baseline is 1.81; 4 of 4 matches moved the same way.

Primary driver Shot quality +1.52 82%
xG per match 0.73 → 2.59
Results vs underlying ▼ Moderate evidence New Serie A 2026-11-02

Udinese's results are worse than their underlying numbers

Over the last 8 matches, points per game (0.12) vs expected points per game (0.71): gap -0.58.

Primary driver Finishing -0.26 78%
Points vs expected points 0.71 → 0.12